Somebody did a fact check here of a social media meme that attempts to show prevalence of rape, compared to prevalence of reporting, trial, conviction and false reports.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ic-on-rape-statistics/?utm_term=.d5c8c87055f4
The meme itself was bad, but here’s what the WaPo said:
“Using the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey statistics from 2008 to 2012, the Rape, Abuse and Incest National Network estimated 40 percent of rapes get reported to the police. This is close to the 2013 criminal victimization rates, which estimated 35 percent of rape or sexual assault cases are reported.”
“Given the difficulty of making estimates, most experts offer a range, not a single number. Depending on the population studied, experts estimate a range of 5 to 20 percent of sexual assaults being reported to law enforcement.”
So, best case scenario is that “only” 60% of rapes are unreported.
“There is a range of estimates for prosecution as well, between 8 and 37 percent.”
The section on convictions is a little fuzzy, but this part was clear: “That report also shows that 46 percent of felony rape convictions resulted in guilty pleas — a much higher rate than ones that went to trial, an observation not noted in this graphic.”
“The “Making a Difference” Project, which used data collected by law enforcement agencies over 18 to 24 months, found 7 percent of cases that were classified as false. That study is the “only research conducted in the U.S. to evaluate the percentage of false reports made to law enforcement,” according to the National Center for the Prosecution of Violence Against Women. Other studies also estimate somewhere between 2 and 10 percent.”
So, the 90% true that people have thrown around is in the ballpark.
The WaPo gave the viral graphic 3 pinocchios, which I think demonstrates that their critical faculties are in working order.
I kind of wish they’d produced their own corrected graphic, though.