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Luigi_Daniele
Guest
I think that it is almost impossible to change momentum this late in an election.Barring the dreaded “October Surprise” I agree with you. Is Hurricane Sandy that surprise? Hard to say. Throwing a natural disaster in the mix a week before the election is as of yet, uncharted territory. Its very hard to predict how this will impact things, or if it will at all.
- Early voters are 52% R this time, many of who are 0-1 election voters. Dem early voters are last 3-4 election voters, ie, they are scavenging their Election Day turnout.
- Romney has gained almost every day in the polls. NB: I don’t believe the earlier polls. I think that Romney has been leading for a month or so. His stellar debate performance probably added 2 points to his lead, but I think that he would have won, regardless.