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I think your problem here, which is understandable, is that you are using logic instead of emotion. Obama was a dream, emotion, image, a celebrity. Trump is Obama II.I’m well aware that Trump is a marketing man. He knows how to spell out a brand and successfully sell it to a consumer. That’s to say: to all intents and purposes he doesn’t have any constant convictions. It’s all about sales with him. He isn’t a man of conviction but of instinct (I believe he was the first person in the area to fit his Atlantic City casino with strippers). For the general, he’d easily acquire a new mask if it can propel him towards the power he covets…
Problem is, he’s tied himself into a bit of a pandora’s box. His demagogic appeal rests on a set of very narrowly defined sentiments that overwhelmingly appeal to white, blue-collar men (among many others) who are worried about immigration, multiculturalism, free trade etc. and feel betrayed by the GOP establishment.
If Trump then goes “to the centre”…He becomes another establishment goon. Uh, won’t that hurt his fan base - just a little bit? What does it say about his trustworthiness? Why should anyone trust a pro-choice, pro-free trade pro-life protectionist?
Trump’s allure stems from his “new politics” - the fact that he doesn’t speak or act mainstream. If he goes mainstream, his show-boy antics will lose their lustre. As far as I see it, he’s trapped in a gilded cage which he locked himself in and threw away the key to open it. If he goes into the general as he is, he’s going to face serious trouble. If he goes mainstream, he defies the very reason why anyone would vote for him. I think he’s screwed.
I predict his base won’t admit the pivot to themselves! Why do so many social conservatives, Catholics, support him now? Alongside Northeast prochoicers like Scott Brown and Giuliani? You can see the denial mode in full swing right now. Trump has successfully played the NE liberal GOP and the hardcore right base all along. They like the guy…simple as that. And the GOP WANTS TO WIN.