Lockdowns never again: Sweden was right, and we were wrong

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LeafByNiggle changing my premise . . .
Any viral load at all should be avoided.
(This above, is an emotional argument. But it is not scientific.)

First of all did ANYONE here say we should NOT AVOID viral infections? At least in practicality. Especially regarding Corona virus?

Now let’s talk theoretically.

If you think that nobody should have ANY viral load,
how do you expect to exercise your immune system?
Are you advocating living in a bubble?

Do you understand viral loads HAVE been OBVIOUSLY beneficial in society at times??

The obvious example is a “viral load” of cow pox, yielding
cross-immunologic protection against small pox.

Do you think society would have been better off with any viral load of cow pox avoided (“Any viral load at all should be avoided.” — LeafByNiggle)??

Or do you think there was some “reaping of benefit” from cow pox?
 
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Any viral load at all should be avoided.
It is not emotional. It is a public policy position that is currently the position of the CDC with regard to SARS/Cov-2.
First of all did ANYONE here say we should NOT AVOID viral infections? At least in practicality. Especially regarding Corona virus?
I wasn’t sure if that was implied or not, but I’m glad to hear you affirm that we should avoid any covid infection.
Now let’s talk theoretically.

If you think that nobody should have ANY viral load,
how do you expect to exercise your immune system?
I was referring only to covid. It is bad practice to try to “exercise your immune system” to covid by deliberate exposure. But then, you have already disavowed that advice, so no problem.
Do you understand viral loads HAVE been OBVIOUSLY beneficial in society at times??
Again, I was referring only to covid.
The obvious example is a “viral load” of cow pox, yielding
cross-immunologic protection against small pox.
But you certainly would not want to catch small pox just to get cross-immunologic protection against cow pox!
 
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The Japanese did things differently.

They concentrated on the symptomatic cases only and largely ignored the asymptomatic cases. They did not engage in mass-testing; instead, they allowed people who were asymptomatic to spread the disease. That produced many more asymptomatic infections which are harmless yet they build immunity in the population at large. They did this with no vaccine and without having a large number of people die. The study shows how the seropositive rate was built up over the study period.

There were no shutdowns, no mask orders, no lockdowns and only a brief school closure order in a few places, which was quickly dropped.

And … they were right. They made it to the other side and they did it in a way that could have been replicated here and in other countries.
 

The Japanese government “concentrated on the symptomatic cases only and largely ignored the asymptomatic cases. . . . the seropositive rate was built up over the study period.”​

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Zzyzx_Road . . .
The Japanese did things differently.

They concentrated on the symptomatic cases only and largely ignored the asymptomatic cases. They did not engage in mass-testing; instead, they allowed people who were asymptomatic to spread the disease. That produced many more asymptomatic infections which are harmless yet they build immunity in the population at large. They did this with no vaccine and without having a large number of people die. The study shows how the seropositive rate was built up over the study period.

There were no shutdowns, no mask orders, no lockdowns and only a brief school closure order in a few places, which was quickly dropped.

And … they were right. They made it to the other side and they did it in a way that could have been replicated here and in other countries.
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Nice post Zzyzx_Road. Very informative.
 
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567 posts on this thread. Wow!

You know what will be the great Irony if Biden wins…He’s going to tell you the Covid can’t be suppressed, there will be no more lockdowns, and you need to learn to live with it…which is basically what Trump is saying.

I honestly thought lockdowns were the correct choice at first, but I changed my mind. I honestly don’t believe lockdowns ever had a chance, and this dumb idea should never be used again.

I was reading this article last night frustrated by the whole thing. Worth a read…
I consider myself to be left-wing on virtually every political topic: I am a socially-liberal social democrat who believes in a strong social safety net, high-quality public healthcare for all, robust environmental protections (including shifting to renewable energy sources immediately and protecting half of the globe for nature), restorative justice, legal abortion and reducing inequality and corporate influence over politics. I despise Donald Trump and believe Brexit was a huge mistake. I am firstly presenting my political biases in order to dispel the caricature that has emerged of lockdown sceptics as being all right-wing, Trumpian Brexiteers. I think this labelling has been very unfortunate and misguided, as I too believe that the lockdown policy in response to Covid-19 has been an utter and complete disaster, and that most of the left have gotten this issue completely wrong. I will argue that the position of the lockdown sceptic really should be a more naturally left-wing cause to adopt, and those on the left should not be distracted by the reflexive partisan politics and virtue signalling that has taken over so much of the debate around lockdowns.
 
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Excellent post; exactly what I wished to add but more succinct than I could have been. (I think even the Japanese are surprised they’ve been this successful, as evidenced by the need of some of them to come up with the theory of a mysterious and so far unproven Japanese gene that may confer immunity.)
 
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I talked (here) about Spain, Australia, and the UK. And how all their draconian measures have not shown real benefit.
Because all of these countries with their masking up,
quarantining HEALTHY people, etc.
still are having
"vulnerable people . . . still suffering and dying."
(minor spell correction)

Yet Sweden now is doing GREAT!

The World Health Organization called Sweden a “model country” for corona virus epidemiologic strategies (epidemiologic strategies. Not Sweden’s individual patient care strategies as their care for the elderly was a disaster. They basically murdered them instead of treating them.)

I showed how despite cases rising, deaths are declining.

Death rates have fallen too. Just like here in America.

The Case Fatality Rate CFR here in America is amazingly low compared to many other countries around the world.
There are dozens of countries with higher case fatality rates than the USA.
This is a great testimony to the health care system here but even more so, the physicians and nurses caring for these patients.

Thanks also to President Trump for making sure we had enough ventilators for the sickest patients. You saved many lives.

@HarryStotle linked a video showing lack of correlation between case spikes and death.

(We knew that was going to happen because the experts told us
the virus would weaken over time,
people would acquire immunity,
and the medical profession would improve at management of these corona virus cases.)

It was excellent. Here it is again.

Latest On The Second Wave​

22,635 views
Oct 11, 2020
Tony Heller
97.9K subscribers

The casedemic in the UK is the worst in history.

@Motherwit challenged these numbers and experts saying:

Motherwit . . . .
I never understand how these ‘analysts’ fail to follow the normal virus trajectory in making their claims. . . . . As every decent scientist will tell you, the death spike begins about 2 or 3 weeks after the case spike is seen. . . . . It’s a sad reality but lets meet back here at this claim in 2 to 4 weeks and reassess the claim this fellow is making about no correlation between case spike and subsequent death spike.
Here is the salient portion again.
the death spike begins about 2 or 3 weeks after the case spike is seen
OK. It is now two and a half weeks and the numbers are in.

@Motherwith. You wanted to meet back here. So here we are!

Here are Sweden’s numbers (which is just like the experts cited on the video said would occur) . . . .

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Sweden’s deaths continue to approach ZERO!

Congratulations Sweden!
 
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@Motherwit challenged these numbers and experts saying:

Motherwit . . . .
I never understand how these ‘analysts’ fail to follow the normal virus trajectory in making their claims. . . . . As every decent scientist will tell you, the death spike begins about 2 or 3 weeks after the case spike is seen. . . . . It’s a sad reality but lets meet back here at this claim in 2 to 4 weeks and reassess the claim this fellow is making about no correlation between case spike and subsequent death spike.
Todays update 29 October, 2020

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This is a rolling trajectory as you see.
 
This is why masks, even though not completely efficient are helpful. They keep the number of virus particles lower even though the virulence is the same per particle.
It isn’t clear that masks are even helpful.


Try to explain that data.

Even if we were to grant you that under ideal conditions masks are helpful, most of those wearing masks are not particularly careful about their use and often are abusing the known effective measures because they think the masks will protect them in any case.

Case in point. I live in a small city that mandated masks in late September when we had few active cases because of the fear of a spike. A month later we have higher numbers of cases than ever. A neighboring city about 100 miles away did not mandate masks and their numbers have stayed relatively stable ~20.

Masks could become a nexus or collector of viruses and germs rather than “helpful.”
 
Rolling trajectory or not.

The deaths clearly are not proportional to the cases.
And there is no “spike” in deaths here.

Just look at the numbers and graphs.
It’s pretty easy to see.

Let me remind you again of what you told me two and a half weeks ago . . . .
I never understand how these ‘analysts’ fail to follow the normal virus trajectory in making their claims. . . . . As every decent scientist will tell you, the death spike begins about 2 or 3 weeks after the case spike is seen. . . . . It’s a sad reality but lets meet back here at this claim in 2 to 4 weeks and reassess the claim this fellow is making about no correlation between case spike and subsequent death spike.
Why not just be glad you were wrong and be happy Sweden is doing so well?
 
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From back in late May (at the height of Sweden’s deaths associated with the Corona virus pandemic). . . .

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GOTHENBURG

SWEDEN DURING CORONAVIRUS - REAL FOOTAGE​

170,487 views

Evan Thomas
45.7K subscribers

Published on May 31, 2020

#coronavirus #covid19 #sweden
Real, unedited footage of life in Sweden during the Coronavirus pandemic. Footage shot in Sweden’s second largest city, Gothenburg. The city has a population of 1 million and a population density of 3,300 per square mile. Life has remained almost normal, but there are certain safety measures in place meant to stop the spread of COVID-19. . . .

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Swedish scientist blames UK Covid spike on lockdown strategy​

486,769 views

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Channel 4 News​

1.48M subscribers
](https://m.youtube.com/user/Channel4News)

Published on Sep 24, 2020

Sweden’s chief epidemiologist has told Channel 4 News that the UK having a lockdown - and then ending it - was probably the biggest cause of a surge in British Covid cases, compared with much lower numbers in Sweden. . . . Anders Tegnell also confirmed that Boris Johnson sought his advice in a Zoom call last weekend. Over 500 Covid cases were reported in Sweden today - the biggest daily rise since early July. But the Swedish government still believes its refusal to lock down was the right decision.

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Sweden #Coronavirus #TodayShow

How Sweden Dealt With Coronavirus: Are There Lessons For US? | TODAY​

315,406 views


2.53M subscribers


SUBSCRIBE

Published on Oct 1, 2020

The U.S. and many other parts of the world are seeing an increase in coronavirus cases, but that’s not the case in Sweden, which never went into lockdown. Is there a lesson there for the rest of the world? NBC chief global correspondent Bill Neely reports for TODAY from Stockholm.

And I think this is essentially the same story here . . .

 
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Sweden’s anti-lockdown approach is becoming ‘one of the best in the world’​

175,779 views

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Sky News Australia​

849K subscribers
](https://m.youtube.com/user/SkyNewsAustralia)

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Published on Sep 24, 2020

Sweden’s COVID-19 record is now becoming “one of the best in the world” not the worst, after constant repudiations of the country’s anti-lockdown approach, according to Alexander Downer. The former foreign affairs minister told Sky News although the European nation initially saw a “very big surge in deaths” it has now experienced a very steady decline of coronavirus in the same vein as Victoria which has suffered through massive and extended lockdowns. “It didn’t ever have a lockdown, just introduced a whole series of voluntary regulations and advised people to socially distance,” Mr Downer said. Mr Downer said Sweden served as a perfect example of a differing approach to lockdowns, amid the UK government’s decision to re-introduce restrictions on its citizens. The UK recorded over 6,000 cases of the deadly virus on Wednesday, part of a growing uptick of cases in the past month. In response, Prime Minister Boris Johnson decided to re-introduce restrictions including a forced closure of pubs and restaurants after 10pm, and restricting those venues to sit-down or takeaway service. Mr Downer said Britons want more “consistency in policy” and more predictability. “The mood of the community is, does the government have a more coherent program rather than making ad hoc changes day by day which is frustrating particularly for businesses,” he said. “People are losing track where the government is at.”

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And from last month . . . .

Sweden’s plummeting daily death rate shows ‘pointlessness’ of Melbourne’s lockdown​

293,271 views

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Sky News Australia​

849K subscribers
](https://m.youtube.com/user/SkyNewsAustralia)

SUBSCRIBE

Published on Sep 26, 2020

Rowan Dean says there isn’t really any point to Melbourne’s “strictest most severe lockdowns virtually on the planet” given daily deaths per million in lockdown-less Sweden have plummeted.
Sweden’s plummeting daily death rate shows ‘pointlessness’ of Melbourne’s lockdown - YouTube.
 
Motherwit . . .
Those reports were more than a month ago.
Yes but so what?

I didn’t post them for anything other than to see direct video footage of how Sweden has been handling things.

And see it first hand.

So if someone in the future comes on here and (falsely) says, . . .

. . . “Well, there wasn’t a Government MANDATE, but everyone in Sweden was behaving as there was anyway.”

People will be able to see the baloney being shot firsthand.

They will KNOW Swedes were not masking-up etc. because they can SEE the Swedes.

The Swedish case number and death numbers are still not much different compared to the UK and Spain (for example).
Much more for the UK and Spain that has had enormous FORCE of MANDATES.

Admitedly it has been a couple of weeks or so since I looked at those and other countries (outside of the US and Sweden) Worldometer Stats.

Would you like me to go there now and post them here?

Sweden, at least as far as deaths, is going to be very hard to beat.

In other words, despite all this OVER REGULATION by Governments in Europe, Sweden’s numbers (at least as far as deaths) will be excellent. (Yes. More “cases” in the winter. Just like we all knew would happen as people crowd together indoors more in winter months).

Like I said. Would you like me to get and post those numbers?
 
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Have to remember that lockdowns of the healthy were the major innovation this year. Lockdowns of the healthy had never ever ever been tried before in all of known history. In all previous epidemics and pandemics, it was the sick they locked down or banned from the city or otherwise restricted their movements. In 1918, the most they did was ban large gatherings and suspend schools but they never forced the healthy to stay home. As a result, the economic damage wasn’t that much, at least not anywhere near what we experienced this year.

Lockdowns of the healthy were dreamed up in 2006 by a pair of scientists who were not epidemiologists. More in this article:


I think we can now say they don’t work and that the damage to the economy is simply not worth it. We have Sweden and Japan to look at.
 
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